Analysts expect 2016 to be marked by a continued conflict between the Federal Reserve’s efforts to raise interest rates in a strengthening job market and attempts to lower rates around the world amid China’s economic slump. Investors expect another difficult year of tumultuous markets and narrow profit margins.
Some analysts expect demand for real estate securities to increase after August, when MSCI and S&P Dow Jones Indices create a new category for real estate instead of including it in the broader group of financial companies. Investment firms are developing new real estate funds in response to the change, and portfolio managers are expected to pay more attention to real estate.
Congress’ approval of the Protecting Americans from Tax Hikes Act of 2015 last week included new provisions for the Foreign Investment in Real Property Tax Act that could bring an additional $20 billion to $30 billion of foreign investment, according to Kenneth Rosen, a professor at the University of California, Berkeley.
- New ruling gives crowdfunding firms access to non-accredited investors.
- Apartment rents rising faster than incomes.
- Are prices for seniors housing too frothy?
Fundamentals in the student housing sector advanced at a healthy pace during the 2014-2015 school year, mirroring the performance of the greater multifamily sector. Student housing is categorized by buildings leased on a per-unit basis and those leased on a per-bed basis. Facilities that lease by the unit exhibited rent growth of 3.4 percent between the third quarter of 2014 and the third quarter of 2015.
John Sebree, a national director with Marcus & Millichap, looks at the dynamics at play in today’s transaction market as capital flows and investors increasingly chase yield into secondary and tertiary markets, pushing cap rates down a little more each day.
The Federal Reserve has left interest rates unchanged but says it will consider an increase at December’s meeting. The Federal Open Market Committee has dropped a warning that global financial and economic developments might “restrain economic activity somewhat.”
Rent growth hits 2006 levels, while occupancy reaches 2001 milestones. MFE’s Les Shaver looks at the highlights.